On December 4, according to the Provincial Meteorological Bureau, the average temperature in Sichuan this winter (from December 2025 to February 2026) is higher than the annual average, with a warm front and a cold latter part, showing significant temperature fluctuations; the average precipitation is close to the annual average.

It is expected that the average temperature across the province this winter will be between 6.7℃ and 7.2℃, higher than the annual average (6.1℃). The average precipitation will be between 32 and 36 millimeters, nearly matching the annual average (34.0 millimeters), but the distribution will be uneven. There will be strong cold air in early December and mid-February.

The "warm and humid" environment will increase the base number of pests and diseases overwintering. Most of Ganzi Prefecture and the forest and grassland fire risk level in the Panxi area is at level three, reaching level four during some periods, necessitating strengthened management of fire sources.

Meteorological monitoring shows that the just-concluded autumn (from September to November 2025) had an average provincial temperature of 16.5℃, which is 1.0℃ higher than the norm, ranking third in history; the average precipitation was 319.9 millimeters, 51% more than usual, also ranking third in history. The basin did not experience significant drought, with moderate to severe drought mainly occurring in Liangshan Prefecture and Ganzi Prefecture. The intensity of this year's autumn rain has set a historical record.

【本文部分内容由AI辅助生成，特此声明。The author(s) generated part of the content in this work with the assistance of artificial intelligence (AI), which is hereby declared.】